Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.994429 4.612217 5.294054 6.102486 7.035098 8.077527 9.331662
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.062809 3.844502 4.781099 5.986392 7.497477 9.330978 11.727683
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.389317 3.224568 4.299283 5.784412 7.786072 10.394613 14.060158
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.016584 2.903905 4.120824 5.913287 8.491106 12.072683 17.443295
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.661816 2.537313 3.809174 5.793797 8.820385 13.276218 20.362584
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.504463 2.423445 3.830681 6.145673 9.870994 15.654519 25.362486
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.348012 2.280989 3.780508 6.370179 10.748800 17.886986 30.479905
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.181992 2.093250 3.624935 6.391947 11.289724 19.644059 35.078362
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.989941 1.828925 3.299054 6.068431 11.183856 20.284958 37.837290
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.917603 1.764509 3.308087 6.333383 12.151651 22.924604 44.565108
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.878981 1.755546 3.413861 6.788467 13.531677 26.498745 53.573655
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.809560 1.675894 3.373636 6.953493 14.370600 29.153659 61.171832
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.730588 1.568865 3.271898 6.995943 15.003118 31.558273 68.785716
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.635249 1.413178 3.049467 6.755341 15.013525 32.702611 73.947986
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.549655 1.264939 2.820468 6.464219 14.867794 33.490951 78.454586
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.506450 1.204583 2.772850 6.568953 15.621645 36.358603 88.155303
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.449988 1.104732 2.622059 6.412517 15.747098 37.821407 94.790040
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.434345 1.099893 2.689990 6.786796 17.198545 42.599979 110.288922
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.411323 1.073236 2.701876 7.025053 18.351571 46.830248 125.107102
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.378448 1.016383 2.631226 7.043026 18.946378 49.759302 137.025813
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.330642 0.912980 2.427873 6.682855 18.492210 49.929964 141.569509
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.317907 0.902256 2.463990 6.972514 19.840737 55.060738 160.699965
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.314486 0.916877 2.569982 7.472283 21.853579 62.299653 187.060654